The win over Norway – coupled with their defeat by Portugal on Sunday – means Wales are nonetheless third heading into the ultimate video games, courtesy of the head-to-head nature of this competitors’s tie-breakers.
Over the earlier three Nations League campaigns mixed, groups that end backside of a League A gaggle have a mean of two.92 factors after their six video games.
Wales have already got three factors, and so they nonetheless must play Norway in Oslo and Portugal in Cardiff in November.
Earlier than the present worldwide camp even began, Bellamy spoke about concentrating on third place.
That might give Wales an opportunity of avoiding being relegated to League B and it might additionally enhance their seeding for the Euro 2028 qualifying draw.
So what about groups who end third in League A?
Within the 2020-21, 2022-23 and 2024-25 campaigns mixed, groups ending third in League A teams have ended with a mean of 6.42 factors from six video games.
It means Wales would realistically want another win, or possibly two attracts, to face an opportunity of ending third.
Even when they end fourth, the tweak to the format signifies that solely the 2 worst-ranked backside sides go down mechanically, with the opposite two heading right into a play-off towards a League B runner up.
With Serbia, Turkey and Czech Republic but to register some extent, they could have already got finished sufficient to line up a two-legged battle for survival in March, with Bosnia-Herzegovina, Ukraine, Scotland and Kosovo among the many potential opponents.