Premier League predictions & Jones Is aware of’ finest bets: Liverpool vs Arsenal, Tottenham vs Crystal Palace and rather more | Soccer Information

Our high tipster Lewis Jones, aka Jones Is aware of, supplies his evaluation and betting perception for a busy weekend of Premier League motion.

Bournemouth vs Leeds, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6!

There’s a fatigue angle price exploring right here. Bournemouth are enjoying their sixth recreation in 22 days. The highs have been important, too, with wins over AC Milan and Manchester United.

Marco Rose is rotating his pack accordingly, however the gathered calls for of this run might meet up with Bournemouth. You possibly can solely preserve asking the identical gamers to ship at depth for thus lengthy earlier than the legs begin to really feel it.

Leeds, in contrast, have loved a far quieter build-up. Daniel Farke’s facet drew 0-0 at Sunderland on Sunday and have had the luxurious of a transparent midweek to arrange for this journey. That further restoration time might show vital towards opponents who’ve barely had a second to breathe.

The opposite motive to facet with Leeds is their resilience. They’ve misplaced simply twice of their final 17 Premier League video games – a reminder that profitable is a behavior, however not dropping is one too. The Whites won’t at all times flip aggressive performances into three factors however they’ve developed a knack for staying in video games.

Leeds draw no guess at 6/4 with Sky Guess affords an interesting possibility of backing the more energizing facet to get one thing from the sport, together with your stake returned if the factors are shared.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6!

Brentford are growing a behavior of stopping opponents by any means crucial. They’re main the Premier League for fouls dedicated this season, averaging 14 per recreation – a big spike on final season’s numbers that hints at a extra aggressive, cynical method.

That makes James McAtee an attention-grabbing goal within the player-props market. The Nottingham Forest midfielder has been thriving within the coronary heart of the pitch, the place his capacity to obtain the ball in tight areas and switch away from stress makes him a troublesome participant to comprise.

McAtee has been fouled 14 occasions throughout his eight Premier League begins this season, averaging 1.75 per recreation. Crucially, the two-or-more fouls line has landed in 5 of these eight appearances. At 11/10 with Sky Guess it is price backing to go in once more.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Coventry vs Sunderland, Saturday 3pm

Sunderland look a really ropey favorite at 13/10 with Sky Guess. There’s a distinction between being an excellent group and being an excellent guess and the Black Cats’ document when anticipated to ship away from house makes me reluctant to become involved at that worth.

Of their final 12 away video games when priced shorter than 3/1, Sunderland have received simply twice – towards Oxford within the FA Cup and Torreense. On each events, they scraped by by a single aim. Backing them with a £1 stake in every of these 12 matches would have left you £9.20 down. That’s not the profile of a facet I wish to be trusting at these form of costs.

There may be additionally the query of confidence. When outcomes and performances are usually not fairly clicking, being requested to take the initiative away from house can grow to be an uncomfortable task.

Coventry supply the choice. At 6/5 on the draw no guess market, we will again the house facet to take benefit without having them to win to probably not less than break even.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Hull vs Ipswich, Saturday 3pm

There’s a robust case for opposing Ipswich.

Their 1-1 draw with Nottingham Forest had a contact of the Julio Enciso-or-nothing about it, with the Paraguayan offering the second of high quality to rescue some extent regardless of City being lucky to flee with something based mostly on the stream of the sport and the underlying numbers.

Ipswich is perhaps sitting in mid-table with 10 factors, however the outcomes are flattering them. They’ve scored stoppage-time winners towards Fulham, Crystal Palace and Sunderland, and whereas late objectives are an indication of resilience, you can’t preserve counting on tremendous margins to paper over the cracks.

Their expected-goals supremacy determine of -0.65 per 90 minutes is the worst within the Premier League. In easy phrases, they’re giving up extra in likelihood high quality than they create – a worrying development for a facet making an attempt to determine itself at this degree.

The desk would possibly look comfy for now, however the underlying efficiency knowledge suggests there’s loads of work to do if they’re to keep away from being dragged right into a relegation struggle.

Hull have their very own points however the house facet have proven they’ll compete and this seems like a chance to reap the benefits of an Ipswich group whose outcomes are operating forward of their performances. At 8/5 with Sky Guess, the Tigers are price backing.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Hull to win (8/5 with Sky Guess)

Man Metropolis vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6!

Brighton have proven repeatedly that they’re a punter’s dream when travelling to the Premier League’s elite golf equipment.

Throughout their final 15 matches towards Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester Metropolis, the Seagulls have scored 22 objectives, with an mixture rating of 22-21. That’s not the profile of a group content material to sit down in a low block and hope for scraps. We noticed towards Liverpool and Manchester Metropolis within the final week that Brighton need the ball, wish to assault and are greater than prepared to commerce punches with the division’s finest.

For betting functions, although, it’s their shot rely that basically catches the attention. Brighton have averaged 14 photographs per recreation throughout these 15 matches, whereas they registered 17 efforts in each their journeys to Liverpool and Metropolis over the previous week.

That makes the 7/2 on a Brighton win tempting however backing them to win is asking rather a lot when the opposition have a lot particular person high quality. I might fairly concentrate on Sky Guess’s Evens for Brighton to document 12 or extra photographs – that appears a a lot smarter method into this fixture.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace, Saturday 5.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6!

I have been ready within the shadows to leap on the Tottenham practice and now feels just like the time to climb aboard.

Again-to-back wins have lastly delivered the outcomes that Roberto De Zerbi’s performances had been threatening for some time. There’s a clearer identification rising, the brand new signings are starting to look extra comfy and confidence is beginning to return. This can be a Spurs facet with a excessive ceiling if all the pieces clicks into place.

My religion is constructed on what they’re doing with out the ball. Since De Zerbi took cost, Tottenham have averaged simply 1.03 anticipated objectives towards per 90 minutes within the Premier League. Solely Arsenal have posted a greater defensive determine in that interval. That’s a powerful platform to construct from, significantly for a group nonetheless discovering its toes within the remaining third.

If the attacking items now begin to fall into place, Spurs have the potential to show stable performances into emphatic wins.

Palace look an excellent opponent to check that concept towards. Their defensive numbers make grim studying, having conceded not less than twice in 12 of their final 14 Premier League matches. That could be a worrying development towards a Tottenham facet starting to search out momentum.

The -1 handicap at 11/8 with Sky Guess requires Spurs to win by two or extra objectives. The guess of the weekend.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-0 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Tottenham -1 handicap (11/8 with Sky Guess)

Aston Villa vs Fulham, Saturday 8pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6!

Calvin Bassey is the kind of defender I really like focusing on within the participant props markets. He’s a maverick who desires to get on the ball, carry it ahead and impose himself on a recreation. That adventurous streak could make him a legal responsibility defensively at occasions but it surely additionally creates loads of alternatives for betting on his foul involvements.

Bassey has racked up 17 foul involvements throughout his final three video games – combining fouls received with fouls conceded. His common throughout his final 20 Premier League appearances stands at 3.1 per recreation, so the three-involvement mark right here with Sky Guess at Evens is hardly asking him to do one thing extraordinary.

The match-up at Villa Park may very well be significantly tasty, too. Nicolas Jackson seems to be in menacing type after operating Marc Guehi ragged final weekend towards Manchester Metropolis. Villa’s striker will look to get at Fulham’s defence, utilizing his motion and physicality to attract contact whereas Bassey’s willingness to step out and have interaction might result in a energetic particular person battle.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Calvin Bassey +3 foul involvements (Evens with Sky Guess)

Liverpool vs Arsenal, Sunday 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6!

Andoni Iraola loves a tactical foul. You possibly can usually spot him applauding from the touchline when one among his gamers takes the choice to halt an opposition assault earlier than it develops into one thing harmful. It’s a key a part of his soccer philosophy. Cease the transition early.

That mentality has clearly travelled with him to Liverpool. His facet are averaging 13.75 fouls per recreation within the Premier League and I just like the look of backing them to maintain that common ticking over towards Arsenal.

This fixture has all of the substances for a excessive foul rely. The depth needs to be apparent from the primary whistle, with either side able to hurting one another in transition and Arsenal pleased to have interaction in a duel-heavy recreation. That is their bread and butter.

There may be additionally a compelling case for a good contest right here. The draw at 9/4 with Sky Guess is the end result that appeals most in the primary markets and a carefully fought recreation might imply loads of interruptions as neither facet offers the opposite room to breathe. Liverpool making 13 or extra fouls at 11/10 with Sky Guess, together with the draw, are two of the standout betting angles.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Newcastle vs Everton, Monday 8pm, reside on Sky Sports activities

The betting market is but to be satisfied by Newcastle and their worth to beat Everton at St James’ Park tells its personal story.

At 5/4 with Sky Guess, that is the most important worth they’ve been to win this fixture of their final six house conferences. For context, throughout the earlier two seasons they have been priced at 7/10 and even 1/4 to beat the Toffees on house soil.

So what has modified? The underlying numbers are hardly screaming that Newcastle are a group to belief with Eddie Howe gone. Matthias Jaissle has loads to show within the Premier League with Newcastle at present recording an expected-goals supremacy of -0.58 per recreation – the third-worst determine within the division. That could be a worrying metric for a facet being requested to justify favouritism at house.

Their win over Crystal Palace final weekend did little to silence these doubts. Newcastle misplaced the expected-goals battle, the shot rely and the nook rely, making the consequence look fairly lucky if you dig beneath the floor.

Everton are price taking significantly at this worth. With Newcastle trying susceptible, I’m pleased to oppose the hosts and provides ourselves the insurance coverage of the draw by backing Everton on the draw no guess market at 11/10 with Sky Guess.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Jones Is aware of’ finest bets…

• Beneath 2.5 objectives in Chelsea vs Man Utd (11/8 with Sky Guess)
• Hull to beat Ipswich (8/5 with Sky Guess)
• Calvin Bassey +3 foul involvements (Evens with Sky Guess)
• Tottenham -1 handicap (11/8 with Sky Guess)